Here are some possible scenarios that the MHSAA could look at when it comes to the OAA schools. I did include the 4-4 teams as well in the mix. I have included a postseason confidence factor for teams that are on the cusp of the postseason.
Division One.
Lake Orion: (POSSIBLE: North, East) The Dragons are in an interesting position to
where they are at district wise. If Coach John Blackstock’s team were to go
east then they could clash with Romeo, Adams, Utica Eisenhower, and possibly
Chippewa Valley. If they head north with Davison, Lapeer, and Grand Blanc it will
be interesting. Lake Orion went into Lapeer and won 17-7 in week one and also
scrimmaged Davison. I
don’t see the Dragons heading south or southwest right now but that could
change. Either north or east seems logical at the moment.
West Bloomfield: (POSSIBLE: South, North, West) The Lakers are in a very interesting position
because they can go anywhere in the postseason. If West Bloomfield goes north
they could see Adams in the district and clash with Lake Orion in the regional
pending if these two teams meet. If coach Ron Bellamy’s team goes south then I
can see them clashing with Belleville and or Plymouth. The Lakers lost 13-10 to Belleville in the playoffs last season. I’m pretty sure the West Bloomfield
faithful would like another shot at the Tigers. Another possibility is if the
MHSAA where to send them west where they could see Brighton, Lansing Holt, or
Novi Detroit Catholic Central if they beat Orchard Lake St. Marys in the Prep
Bowl. I don't see them heading east, I would be shocked if they went east. There are plenty of options on the table for the Lakers as we speak when
it comes to the postseason.
Adams: (POSSIBLE: Southwest, North, East) The Highlanders are in an very interesting spot
because they can go anywhere whether it’s west, east, or north. If Adams goes
southwest they could see West Bloomfield in the district finals. If they go north they
could clash with Lake Orion. If they go east they could clash with Romeo, Utica
Eisenhower, or city rival Stoney Creek. The Highlanders are a matchup nightmare
for anyone because of the experience and veer offense that coach Tony Patritto
has installed.
Stoney Creek: (POSSIBLE: East, West * Postseason Confidence Factor: 90 percent) The Cougars should be in a good spot if they
beat Adams or not. I think their 5-4 would be strong enough for them to get
into the postseason for the first time since 2013. Stoney Creek if they get to
the postseason will either head west to see Lake Orion and Adams or they head east
and likely see Utica Eisenhower at Sweinhart. The Cougars pending if they win
could rematch Adams, which would be interesting but if your coach Nick Merlo
you have to win first before the latter discussion begins.
Southfield Arts and Tech: (POSSIBLE: East * Postseason Confidence Factor: 25 percent) The Warriors will need to beat River
Rouge to be in the playoff discussion. If they make the playoffs at 5-4 they
could head east and see Chippewa Valley in the first round. It would be all for
not if they lose to the Panthers.
Division Two.
Oak Park: (POSSIBLE: Southeast, West, Northwest) The Knights are in an interesting spot in the
postseason. Oak Park has a ton of options to see where they go. If they go
southeast they could clash with Detroit Martin Luther King in a district final.
If they go west they would see Farmington, North Farmington, and possibly the
Livonia schools (Livonia Franklin and Livonia Churchill. If they go northwest
they would see Groves and Seaholm. I don’t see a scenario where the MHSAA could
send Coach Greg Carter’s team east to see Sterling Heights or Macomb L’Anse
Cruse because of the Port Huron schools (Port Huron and Port Huron Northern.)
The Knights have a ton of options to see where they will head for the
postseason.
Groves: (POSSIBLE: East, Southwest, Southeast, South) The Falcons if they beat Brownstown Woodhaven would
have a ton of points to host multiple playoff games. Groves is in a real bad
spot when you look at where they are located. If they head east then they would
see Warren De LaSalle in the first round. If they head west or southwest then a
clash with North Farmington or Farmington or Walled Lake Western seems
possible. If they head southeast then they would see Oak Park. With probably
the exception of North Farmington, Coach Brendan Flathery’s team could host
multiple playoff games but the opponents will be fierce and tough.
Seaholm: (POSSIBLE: East, Southwest, Southeast * Postseason Confidence Factor: 75 percent) The Maples pending if they can beat Avondale. If Seaholm makes the playoffs they will likely be in the same district with Groves. If they head east it could be
a nightmare because of Warren De LaSalle and Sterling Heights. If they head
southeast they would clash with Oak Park. If they head southwest then they
would clash with North Farmington and or Farmington. There is no clear cut spot
for Coach Jim DeWald’s team but they would at least host a playoff game if they
win on Friday.
Farmington: (POSSIBLE: South, Southeast, West, East) The Falcons are in a very interesting spot. They
could go south and see the Livonia schools (Livonia Franklin and Livonia
Churchill.) I just don’t see a scenario where Temperance Bedford comes that far
north, I would be very surprised if that happens. Farmington could clash with
North Farmington but with Fenton it is possible that the MHSAA could keep the
Farmington schools separate. The Falcons could go east and see Oak Park or
Detroit University Detroit Jesuit. I don’t know if I see Coach Kory Cicroch’s
team heads north but right now south or east seems logical at the moment.
North Farmington: (POSSIBLE: West, South, East) The Raiders are likely to clinch their
first ever undefeated season since 1970 but they could go anywhere in the
postseason. North Farmington could go west and see Walled Lake Western and
South Lyon. They could also head east and clash with Farmington, Groves, and
Seaholm or even south and clash with both Livonia Franklin and Livonia
Churchill. There are plenty of options for Coach Jon Herstein’s team to go. If
they go west it could be a tough challenge, if they go east then it will be a
tough. Probably the easiest path would be south for them but on the bright side
all of those teams will head to North Farmington.
Ferndale: (POSSIBLE: Southeast * Postseason Confidence Factor: 45 percent) If the Eagles can beat Birmingham Detroit Country
Day on the road then they should have enough playoff points to get in at 5-4.
If they do then Ferndale could see either Detroit Martin Luther King, Oak Park,
or Warren De LaSalle. If they lose then all is for not.
Avondale: (POSSIBLE: Unknown * Postseason Confidence Factor: 10 percent) The Yellow Jackets pending if they beat Seaholm
will need a ton of luck and hope to go their way. If they do make the
postseason then they could either be in Division Two or Division Three. It’s
going to be a tough task either way for Avondale.
My Podcast this week.
https://soundcloud.com/user-539915961/oaa-now-10-21-19
My Podcast this week.
https://soundcloud.com/user-539915961/oaa-now-10-21-19
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